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李克强:人民币不存在持续贬值的基础

Li Keqiang: RMB Doesn’t Have Basis of Continued Depreciation

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核心提示:世界经济论坛2015年新领军者年会(第九届“夏季达沃斯论坛”)于9月9日至11日在大连举办。本届年会的主题为“描绘增长新蓝图”。

世界经济论坛2015年新领军者年会(第九届“夏季达沃斯论坛”)于9月9日至11日在大连举办。本届年会的主题为“描绘增长新蓝图”。

国务院总理李克强会见出席2015夏季达沃斯论坛的企业家代表。他在回答企业家代表提问时指出,人民币不存在持续贬值的基础,中国经济运行在合理区间,我们有比较充足的外汇储备,而且货物贸易的顺差还在增加,这都表明人民币汇率能够在合理、均衡的水平上保持基本稳定。

李克强表示,我想说明一个事实,自本届政府成立以来,人民币实际有效汇率已经上升了15%,由于许多国家的货币兑美元大幅下跌,国际市场的趋势致使我们调整人民币汇率中间价报价机制,但也只是小幅微调。如算总账,本届政府人民币兑美元的实际有效汇率还是有比较大幅增长的。坦率地讲,人民币汇率小幅回调以后,目前已基本保持稳定。

李克强称,我们不希望通过人民币贬值来刺激出口,这不符合我们结构调整的方向,我们更不愿意看到“货币战”在世界发生。举个例子,人民币汇率小幅回调以后,我曾经问过有关部门和专门做出口的企业,他们希望人民币汇率保持合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。因为如果市场有一个持续贬值的预期,他连长单都拿不到。这怎么能够有利于中国的出口呢?

李克强表示,大家都知道,中国的大宗商品贸易占很大比重,今年1到8月份,中国进口的原油是2.2亿吨,比去年同期增长了10%,大豆进口同比增长了7%,进口的铁矿石与去年同期基本持平,进口了6亿多吨,但是大宗商品进口价格下来了,有的下跌了40%、50%,这给我们也带来了影响。关税下来了,中国的财政收入受到压力,但是价格不是我们能决定的,进口量没有下来,由于价格下降所导致的进口额减少,应该由谁来负责?我想大家可以进行讨论。大家都知道,如果国际市场大宗商品价格有所回升,我们进口关税也可以多拿,我们的财政部长在这儿,他也会感到高兴。当然,我更高兴这能够有利于改善我们的民生。同时,PPI也会有变化,这对企业利润、经营效益的改善是有利的,当然这需要大家共同努力来解决。(中国进出口网

World Economic Forum 2015 Annual Meeting of the New Champions (also known as the ninth Summer Davos Forum) will be held from September 9 to 11 in Dalian, China. The Summer Davos Forum is themed by "depicts the new growth blueprint".

Premier Li Keqiang attended the 2015 Summer Davos forum and met the entrepreneurs. In his reply to a question raised by entrepreneurs, he noted that RMB doesn’t have the basis of the continued depreciation, the Chinese economy is in a reasonable range, we have more adequate foreign exchange reserves, and surplus in trade in goods is increasing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate maintains basically stable at a reasonable balanced level.

Li said, I would like to explain the fact that since the current government was established, the RMB real effective exchange rate has risen by 15%, due to the sharp decline in the currencies of many countries against the dollar, the trend of the international market led us to adjust the RMB exchange rate quote mechanism. The real effective exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar during this government is still in a relatively substantial growth. Frankly, after the slight pullback of RMB exchange rate, RMB exchange rate has remained stable.

Li Keqiang said that we didn’t want to stimulate exports through devaluation of the RMB, which was not in line with the direction of our restructuring, we didn’t want the "currency war" to happen in the world. For example, after the slight pullback in the yuan exchange rate, I have asked the relevant departments and enterprises specializing in export business, they said they wanted to maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate on a reasonable and balanced level. Because if there is a continued devaluation of the market's expectations, he can not get a single commander. How could it do good to China’s export?

Li said that, we all know, China's commodity trading accounts for a large proportion, this year 1-8 months, China imported 220 million tons of crude oil, an increase of 10% over last year, soybean imports rose by 7%, imports iron ore was essentially flat with last year’s, more than 600 million tons, but the commodity import prices went down, some fell by 40%, 50%, which also had an impact on us. Tariffs went down, China's fiscal revenue was under pressure, but the price was not that we can decide, imports did not come down, imports declined due to the price reduction, Who should be responsible? I think we could have a discussion. We all know that if the international market commodity prices have rebounded, we could also have more import tariffs, our finance minister here, he would feel happy. Of course, I'm more happy that we can contribute to improving people's livelihood. Meanwhile, PPI will have changes, which benefits corporate profits and the operational efficiency improvement, of course, we need to work together to solve the problem.
 

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