出口订单量下滑,英国制造业增长降温

来源:路透社

在其成员汇报了2013年初以来第一次出口订单减少的情况下，英国主要制造业行业协会在周一调低了其2014年增长目标预测。
英国工程雇主联合会(EEF)表示,协会成员的季度调查显示,在过去的三个月，产出和新业务增长量均放缓和,并将2014年产出预测从3.5%削减到3.3%。
但这仍将可能是行业自2009年下降超过10%，2010年产出反弹了4.2%之后的最快增长。
但预测下调迹象表明英国经济今年下半年将放缓步伐。
协会表示,随着欧元区经济停滞不前,英镑走强和政治风险增加,虽然总体经济情况仍然是积极乐观的，但需求在一段时间会充满不确定。
“我们能看到制造商在继续招募熟练工,增加他们来年的计划投资,英国经济仍然需要平衡增长,”协会的首席经济学家霍普利说到。
“然而,面对海外市场正在增加的下降风险，这可能会使未来经济保持强劲增长,特别是出口强势增长变得更具挑战性。”
最新的英国制造业采购经理人指数已于08月30日公布，路透社走访的经济分析师预计自7月至8月增长略有放缓。
英国工程雇主联合会(EEF)的调查是7月30日和8月20日之间进行的,从298年公司取得反馈。
（翻译来自中国进出口网，转载请注明出处）
(记者 Andy Bruce;编辑Tom Heneghan)


UK manufacturing growth cools as export orders slip: EEF
Workers inspect components on the fuel inlet production facility at Futaba Industrial in Foston, central England January 21, 2014.
CREDIT: REUTERS/DARREN STAPLES
(Reuters) - Britain's main manufacturing trade association trimmed its growth forecast for 2014 on Monday after its members reported the first fall in export orders since early 2013.

The EEF association said its quarterly survey of members showed slowing growth in output and new business over the last three months, and cut its forecast for factory output growth in 2014 to 3.3 percent from 3.5 percent.

This would still be the sector's fastest expansion since 2010, when output rebounded by 4.2 percent after slumping more than 10 percent in 2009.

But the forecast downgrade adds to signs that the British economy may lose some pace in the second half of this year.

The EEF said that with the euro zone economy stagnating, sterling strong and political risks on the rise, the picture for demand was now more uncertain than for some time, though the overall picture remained positive.

"We're seeing manufacturers continue to recruit for skilled jobs and increase their plans to invest in the coming year - exactly what the UK economy still needs for balanced growth," said Lee Hopley, the EEF's chief economist.

"However, there are clearly increasing downside risks overseas which could make sustaining strong growth and particularly stronger exports more challenging going forward."

The latest purchasing managers' index for Britain's manufacturing sector, a closely watched gauge of industrial activity, is due at 0830 GMT. Economists polled by Reuters expect growth slowed slightly in August from July.

The EEF survey was conducted between July 30 and Aug. 20, with responses from 298 companies.

(Reporting by Andy Bruce; Editing by Tom Heneghan)