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个人电脑还没到穷途末路之因

Why the PC just won't die

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核心提示:个人电脑还没到穷途末路,至少目前还没有,尽管平板电脑的日益普及,“平板”和智能手机——大型和小型所处可见。
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 个人电脑还没到穷途末路,至少目前还没有,尽管平板电脑的日益普及,“平板”和智能手机——大型和小型所处可见。据Gartner 7月的一份报告,个人电脑市场今年将经历一个“相对复兴”时期。

当然,”Gartner相对复兴”意味着个人电脑市场将在2014年继续下降,2013年不一样(放缓分别为2.9%和9.5%)。真正的复苏可能发生在2015年,当Gartner了解到个人电脑销售实际上再次上升,涨了5.3%。(更多全球资讯请点击浏览

雅虎财经撰稿人Henry Blodget说:“这远远不是复兴。我们先在谈论的这个市场是比十年前整个计算市场少。”

布罗吉特说,尽管如此,只要人们每天需要上班,个人电脑将会伴随着生活。“很多CEO们谈论,‘嘿,我在我的智能手机上运行整个公司,’”他说。“这是因为他们实际上并不需要做任何工作。”

对CEO委派工作智能手机可能是不错的选择,但是创建和使用电子表格或整天打字和发邮件还需要一台电脑,这在将来一段时间也是,Blodget’s认为。

“很长一段时间,在办公中我们将会继续使用一个键盘和一个大屏幕,“Blodge说。“那么,认为个人电脑玩完了简直是疯了。”

也许不久的一天,你的“个人电脑”将由智能手机或平板电脑,但是,要实现它,还有很长的路要走。

目前,平板电脑增长正在放缓。Gartner预测平板电脑在2014年出货量将增长23.9%。这么一个爆炸性增长,Gartner作为一个“放缓”来定性。

但“减速”实际上可能不是一个足够强大的词。百思买首席执行官休伯特乔利最近告诉新闻网站Re /代码,平板电脑销售正“崩溃”。

乔利说,平板电脑面临的问题是创新。“一旦你有某一代的平板电脑,目前尚不清楚你是否有必要购买下一代,”他告诉Re /代码。

它实际上是个人电脑曾经同样面临的问题。乔利数大部分在百思买电脑转好遵循这样一个事实:微软不再支持旧Windows版本的,这就迫使人们去升级。

到目前为止,移动PC和移动景观对一些最大的科技公司有利好——不管他们押注硬件,软件,个人电脑或移动端。 (更多全球资讯请点击浏览) 

就拿硬件制造商惠普说,这是该公司多年来第一次个人电脑业务收入增长。这种转变是如此鼓舞人心,首席执行官梅格·惠特曼宣布该公司将在硬件业务投入多一倍。惠普股票今年以来上涨了约30%。

在软件方面,谷歌(GOOGL)公司的受益是无人能比的。公司的Android软件仍然是移动计算的无冕之王。采用Android移动设备的出货量将在2014年增长30%。

即使是一款备受争议的微软(Microsoft)可能会有所突破。据Gartner,“Windows手机将在2014年基数较低的现状表现出强劲的增长,从2014年的4%到2018年预计将达到10%的市场份额。”

当然,苹果(Apple)。公司——集成硬件和软件水平还没有其他公司掌握,仍有增长势头。出口的iOS系统设备将在2014年增长15%。

这样的市场形势——很难预测到底“个人电脑”的未来。根据Blodget,“个人电脑仍然是有用的,”得到最终裁决我们还需要些日子。
 (更多全球资讯请点击浏览) 
The PC is not dead, at least not yet, despite the rising popularity of tablets, “phablets” and smartphones - large and small. According to a July report from Gartner, the personal computing market will experience a “relative revival” this year.
Of course, by “relative revival” Gartner means the PC market will continue to decline in 2014, just not as much as it did in 2013 (slowing 2.9% versus 9.5%, respectively.) The real revival may happen in 2015; that’s when Gartner sees PC sales actually increasing again – jumping 5.3%.
Yahoo Finance contributor Henry Blodget said, “This is far from a revival. We’re talking about a market that was the entire computing market fewer than 10 years ago.”
Still, Blodget said that as long as people need to go to work every day, personal computers will live on. “Lots of CEOs talk about, ‘Hey, I run the whole company on my smartphone,’” he said. “It’s because they don’t actually have to do any work.”
The smartphone may be fine for a CEO who is delegating work, but someone who is creating and using spreadsheets or typing and emailing all day still needs a computer and will for some time, in Blodget’s view.
“For a long time [to come] we are going to use a keyboard and a big screen at work,” says Blodget. “So, the idea that the PC is dead is crazy.”
It may be that one day soon, your “PC” will be powered by a smartphone or a tablet, but that’s a long way off.
For now, tablet growth is slowing. Gartner does predict tablet sales will continue to grow in 2014 with shipments expected to increase 23.9%. It is a testament to just how explosive the growth of the tablet has been that Gartner is characterizing that as a “slowdown.”
But “slowdown” actually may not be a strong enough word. Best Buy (BBY) CEO Hubert Joly recently told news site Re/Code that tablet sales are “crashing.”
According to Joly, the problem facing tablets is innovation. “once you have a tablet of a certain generation, it’s not clear that you have to move on to the next generation,” he told Re/Code.

It’s actually the same problem that once faced PCs. Joly credits a large part of the PC resurgence at Best Buy to the fact that Microsoft stopped supporting old versions of Windows, which drove people to upgrade. (for more global news please click here) 
So far, the shifting PC versus mobile landscape has spelled good news for some of the biggest names in tech – regardless of whether they’re betting on hardware, software, PC or mobile.
Take hardware-maker Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). The company recently saw revenue grow in its PC unit for the first time in years. The shift was so inspiring it led CEO Meg Whitman to declare the company would double down on hardware. HP stock is up about 30% year-to-date.
On the software side, no one is benefitting more than Google (GOOGL). The company’s Android software remains the undisputed king of mobile computing. The number of shipped devices running Android will jump 30% in 2014.
Even the oft-maligned Microsoft (MSFT) may have finally caught a break. According to Gartner, “Windows phones will exhibit strong growth from a low base in 2014, and are projected to reach a 10% market share by 2018 — up from 4% in 2014."
And of course – there’s Apple (AAPL). The company – which integrates hardware and software to a level no other company has yet mastered – is still seeing growth. Shipments of devices running iOS will jump 15% in 2014. (for more global news please click here) 
So with all of this in the mix – it’s hard to predict what exactly the future of “personal computing” will look like. According to Blodget, “The jury is still out,” and it may be a while before we get a verdict.


 

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